Live implied probability for every contender to finish the 2026 FIFA World Cup as top scorer. Each percentage is the crowd's price on Polymarket's Golden Boot market — it moves with every goal. See also the winner odds and the full market.
Check the full market list in the meantime.
The Golden Boot market lists every contender's live probability — check the board above for the current favourite.
The Golden Boot goes to the tournament's top goalscorer. These odds are crowd-implied probabilities from Polymarket's top-scorer market — real money sets each price, so they react to goals, injuries and minutes as the tournament unfolds. Probabilities across all players sum to more than 100% (the overround).
The top-scorer market is on Polymarket, accessible via worldcupprediction.trade. Trading is on-chain in USDC and is geo-restricted (the US and sanctioned regions are blocked) — see where it's legal first.
Crowd-implied probabilities via Polymarket; they sum to more than 100% across players and move constantly. Not financial advice; trading is geo-restricted — see where it's legal.