Live implied probability for every contender to finish the 2026 FIFA World Cup as top scorer. Each percentage is the crowd's price on Polymarket's Golden Boot market — it moves with every goal. See also the winner odds and the full market.
Kylian Mbappe is the current favourite to win the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot at 15.5% implied probability, ahead of 52 contenders. The figure is the live crowd price on Polymarket and moves through the tournament.
The Golden Boot goes to the tournament's top goalscorer. These odds are crowd-implied probabilities from Polymarket's top-scorer market — real money sets each price, so they react to goals, injuries and minutes as the tournament unfolds. Probabilities across all players sum to more than 100% (the overround).
The top-scorer market is on Polymarket, accessible via worldcupprediction.trade. Trading is on-chain in USDC and is geo-restricted (the US and sanctioned regions are blocked) — see where it's legal first.
Crowd-implied probabilities via Polymarket; they sum to more than 100% across players and move constantly. Not financial advice; trading is geo-restricted — see where it's legal.