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This market pays out $1 per share to whichever outcome is officially confirmed. 31outcomes available. Prices are live and reflect the crowd's odds.
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Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or is the favorite at a 97% implied probability, ahead of Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or (95%) and Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or (91%).
These are crowd-implied probabilities, not bookmaker odds: a price of 97% means the market sees that outcome as roughly 97% likely. Prices move continuously as people trade, and positions settle in USDC on Polymarket once the result is official.