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This market pays out $1 per share to whichever outcome is officially confirmed. 3outcomes available. Prices are live and reflect the crowd's odds.
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Spain is the favorite at a 42% implied probability, ahead of Draw (32%) and Argentina (27%).
These are crowd-implied probabilities, not bookmaker odds: a price of 42% means the market sees that outcome as roughly 42% likely. Prices move continuously as people trade, and positions settle in USDC on Polymarket once the result is official.
Spain face Argentina at the 2026 FIFA World Cup on Sunday, July 19, 2026. Odds on this page refresh roughly every 60 seconds.