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This market pays out $1 per share to whichever outcome is officially confirmed. 4outcomes available. Prices are live and reflect the crowd's odds.
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Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by August 31 is the favorite at a 41% implied probability, ahead of Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by August 31 (11%) and Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 115m by August 31 (6%).
These are crowd-implied probabilities, not bookmaker odds: a price of 41% means the market sees that outcome as roughly 41% likely. Prices move continuously as people trade, and positions settle in USDC on Polymarket once the result is official.