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This market pays out $1 per share to whichever outcome is officially confirmed. 5outcomes available. Prices are live and reflect the crowd's odds.
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no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup is the favorite at a 100% implied probability, ahead of Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (0%) and Bolivia replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (0%).
These are crowd-implied probabilities, not bookmaker odds: a price of 100% means the market sees that outcome as roughly 100% likely. Prices move continuously as people trade, and positions settle in USDC on Polymarket once the result is official.