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This market pays out $1 per share to whichever outcome is officially confirmed. 2outcomes available. Prices are live and reflect the crowd's odds.
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Argentina finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup is the favorite at a 57% implied probability, ahead of Spain finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (42%).
These are crowd-implied probabilities, not bookmaker odds: a price of 57% means the market sees that outcome as roughly 57% likely. Prices move continuously as people trade, and positions settle in USDC on Polymarket once the result is official.