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This market pays out $1 per share to whichever outcome is officially confirmed. 52outcomes available. Prices are live and reflect the crowd's odds.
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José Manuel López Miss a Penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is the favorite at a 50% implied probability, ahead of Lionel Messi Miss a Penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final (8%) and Lamine Yamal Miss a Penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final (5%).
These are crowd-implied probabilities, not bookmaker odds: a price of 50% means the market sees that outcome as roughly 50% likely. Prices move continuously as people trade, and positions settle in USDC on Polymarket once the result is official.