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This market pays out $1 per share to whichever outcome is officially confirmed. 4outcomes available. Prices are live and reflect the crowd's odds.
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Spain is the favorite at a 78% implied probability, ahead of Uruguay (20%) and Saudi Arabia (2%).
These are crowd-implied probabilities, not bookmaker odds: a price of 78% means the market sees that outcome as roughly 78% likely. Prices move continuously as people trade, and positions settle in USDC on Polymarket once the result is official.