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This market pays out $1 per share to whichever outcome is officially confirmed. 48outcomes available. Prices are live and reflect the crowd's odds.
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Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup is the favorite at a 48% implied probability, ahead of France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup (45%) and England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup (36%).
These are crowd-implied probabilities, not bookmaker odds: a price of 48% means the market sees that outcome as roughly 48% likely. Prices move continuously as people trade, and positions settle in USDC on Polymarket once the result is official.