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This market pays out $1 per share to whichever outcome is officially confirmed. 16outcomes available. Prices are live and reflect the crowd's odds.
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the semifinals be FRA vs ESP and ENG vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup is the favorite at a 28% implied probability, ahead of the semifinals be MAR vs BEL and NOR vs SUI at the 2026 FIFA World Cup (27%) and the semifinals be MAR vs BEL and NOR vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup (27%).
These are crowd-implied probabilities, not bookmaker odds: a price of 28% means the market sees that outcome as roughly 28% likely. Prices move continuously as people trade, and positions settle in USDC on Polymarket once the result is official.