Argentina are priced at 8.6% to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which ranks them #5 of the 48 teams with live odds — a genuine contender for the tournament. These are crowd-implied probabilities from Polymarket's outright winner market, where real money sets the price, so they react to results, draws, injuries and team news as they happen.
A 9% price means the market gives Argentinaroughly that chance of lifting the trophy. Because every team's probability is counted, the figures across all 48 teams add up to more than 100% — that gap is the overround, so read these as relative standing rather than an exact number. Compare Argentina against the rest of the field below, or browse the full winner-odds board.
Argentina is priced at 8.6% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, ranking #5 of 48 teams. That makes them a genuine contender. The figure is the live crowd price on Polymarket and moves with the market.
It's the market's implied chance that Argentina lifts the trophy — if the tournament were replayed many times at these prices, Argentina would win about 9% of them. Probabilities across all teams add up to more than 100% (the overround), so treat them as relative, not exact.
Argentina's fixtures and live match odds are listed on this page and across worldcupprediction.trade. Trading is on-chain via Polymarket and is geo-restricted — check where it's legal before trading.
Odds are crowd-implied probabilities via Polymarket and move constantly. Not financial advice; trading is geo-restricted — see where it's legal.