Spain are priced at 16.4% to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which ranks them #1 of the 48 teams with live odds — one of the outright favourites for the tournament. These are crowd-implied probabilities from Polymarket's outright winner market, where real money sets the price, so they react to results, draws, injuries and team news as they happen.
A 16% price means the market gives Spainroughly that chance of lifting the trophy. Because every team's probability is counted, the figures across all 48 teams add up to more than 100% — that gap is the overround, so read these as relative standing rather than an exact number. Compare Spain against the rest of the field below, or browse the full winner-odds board.
Spain is priced at 16.4% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, ranking #1 of 48 teams. That makes them one of the outright favourites. The figure is the live crowd price on Polymarket and moves with the market.
It's the market's implied chance that Spain lifts the trophy — if the tournament were replayed many times at these prices, Spain would win about 16% of them. Probabilities across all teams add up to more than 100% (the overround), so treat them as relative, not exact.
Spain's fixtures and live match odds are listed on this page and across worldcupprediction.trade. Trading is on-chain via Polymarket and is geo-restricted — check where it's legal before trading.
Odds are crowd-implied probabilities via Polymarket and move constantly. Not financial advice; trading is geo-restricted — see where it's legal.